Hsbc and imf clash over asia

HSBC has openly disagreed with the IMF over Asia's ability to recover from the global economic downturn...

According to HSBC, Asia could be the first region to recover from the global recession.
At a press conference in Hong Kong, Sandy Flockhart, Asia-Pacific head of banking explained:

"The recovery could come about thanks to the consumption power of its growing middle class. The bad news is we are experiencing a severe global economic downturn. Global GDP should shrink in 2009.

"China and India continue to have high growth rates. The good news is that this region will be the first to recover from the crisis," he said, citing a growing middle class as one of Asia's stronger characteristics.

Diverging views

Flockhart's view contrasts with that of IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn, who said last week that Asia would not pull through the global economic downturn on its own.

Asian exports have plunged at double-digit rates in the past month as a result of weaker European and American consumer spending.

China on Wednesday reported an unexpectedly sharp 17.5 percent drop in January exports, the steepest decline since records began in 1993. Weak exports have pushed Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore into recession and economists say Taiwan and South Korea are heading for recession.

Positive moves to stimulate growth

Economic development in emerging Asia, however, is boosting the number of medium-income households and the region is relying on them to spur consumer spending and offset the export slump.

Flockhart said sweeping measures by governments around the world to stimulate growth were positive moves.

China believes it can still achieve 8 percent economic growth this year, helped by a 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) fiscal stimulus package announced late last year.

India expects its economy to grow by 7.1 percent in 2008/09, a six-year low, and has also introduced fiscal measures, but Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwali said this week that further stimulus would be needed to sustain growth.

Source: www.reuters.com